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Conclusion

The Beijing massacre and its implications of future political instability have had an impact on Western willingness to invest further in the PRC. As exemplified by the Great Leap Forward, the Cultural Revolution and the Open Door Policy, the PRC government's economic policies depend heavily on the leadership's political doctrines of the day. The present political situation in the PRC is no different.

It seems that for the short to medium-term at least, some political uncertainties will remain in the PRC despite the continuation of the open door policy. Consequently, this makes it difficult for both national governments and world business communities to formulate long-term policies towards relations with the PRC, and caution seems to be the overriding factor in most countries' relationship with the PRC today.

Nevertheless, it remains highly unlikely that a more conservative leadership than is already in place will arise within the PRC. The only possibility of this occurring is if there occurs total chaos within the country after Deng Xiaoping departs the scene, and the PLA takes the reins of power. But, having now experienced the policies of a conservative leadership in the PRC for over two years, it is evident that even with a conservative leadership in power, the PRC will not abandon its economic reforms and open door policy. The simple reasoning behind this is that the conservatives now in power have had every opportunity to do so, but have not. Even so, the full saga of the Beijing massacre will not be complete until the death of Deng Xiaoping. It is with this unstable domestic environment in mind that the Australian government has conducted its recent relations with the PRC, and with which it must conduct its medium-term relations.



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